Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 27.714930 31.487127 35.604392 40.435187 45.952331 52.062015 59.348234
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.333918 28.488522 34.545617 42.201694 51.640728 62.922858 77.470354
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 20.178874 26.292202 33.972601 44.362355 58.102281 75.722482 100.150092
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 17.320006 23.976917 32.879081 45.714571 63.850904 88.715434 125.656586
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 15.461402 22.671765 32.904540 48.587368 72.204349 106.741838 161.627246
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.469570 20.844965 31.912699 49.881501 78.625808 123.327974 199.100957
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.403041 18.555642 29.863110 49.241214 82.055641 136.146485 233.641315
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.845299 16.800658 28.353404 49.199049 86.474822 151.455267 275.738423
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.938478 15.971255 28.226165 51.477586 95.330878 176.095685 339.889636
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.238440 15.382700 28.417284 54.373208 105.914760 206.038321 421.036115
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.397159 14.391396 27.713010 55.473798 113.343550 231.581936 499.669089
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.454526 13.045736 26.111886 54.520198 116.496942 249.282239 566.221984
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.571798 11.696401 24.330363 52.987805 118.425170 265.479297 635.172373
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.952122 10.788719 23.308148 52.916469 123.643115 290.291770 731.485060
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.485507 10.132075 22.714616 53.714640 131.121411 322.232122 854.794095
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.032059 9.426559 21.892131 53.828956 137.038189 351.921875 981.147518
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.760375 9.098212 21.888740 55.968510 148.639511 399.064432 1170.123358
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.425126 8.557377 21.280818 56.455234 156.039042 436.949272 1344.151011
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.032735 7.805184 20.015196 54.946272 157.626685 459.126023 1477.402079
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.731448 7.236344 19.122284 54.287678 161.546634 489.198598 1645.955918
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.575523 7.029251 19.158386 56.308593 174.035901 548.736665 1934.117055
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.458929 6.910589 19.419045 59.067893 189.570975 622.261009 2297.618005
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.285455 6.600155 19.081272 59.929116 199.232534 679.143239 2619.853837